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Post Pictures Of Your Coins With The Lowest Survival Estimates

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MikeF's Avatar
United States
3479 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  02:32 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add MikeF to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
This should be a great one! We all know survival estimates play the largest role in determining a coins scarcity. Often times, mintage counts can be deceiving due to melting, shipping overseas, etc.

Rules: You can post pictures of up to three coins in your collection with the lowest estimated survival figures. Proofs, business strikes, all are welcome. And before we go there, I should address that we all know survival estimates are nothing more than educated guesses. So let's try and keep that debate off the thread if possible.
Edited by MikeF
02/03/2018 03:02 am
Valued Member
JFH's Avatar
United States
115 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  08:29 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JFH to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The 1847-O half eagle is rare in all grades. Probably no more than four dozen are known in all grades and most grade VF35 or lower. Properly graded EF coins are very rare and this date is extremely rare in AU. (per Doug Winter)

JFH

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
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thq's Avatar
United States
3343 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  09:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add thq to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Once again,

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates

PCGS survival of 60.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
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RubyOpal's Avatar
United States
109 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  10:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add RubyOpal to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It took me a year and a half and the purchase of Colonial and Early American Coins to identify this one: 1787 Connecticut, Miller 14-H, R-3. Between 250 and 500 surviving. .
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Edited by RubyOpal
02/03/2018 10:57 am
Valued Member
United States
275 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  6:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dlangs56 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
thq
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MikeF's Avatar
United States
3479 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2018  11:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MikeF to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Unreal guys! I wasn't expecting to see coins with survival rates under 100.

Keep them coming!
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
188342 Posts
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JFH's Avatar
United States
115 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  07:53 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JFH to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
1850-C G$1 MS61,around 200 known.

JFH
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
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Spence's Avatar
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34408 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  08:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Spence to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@MikeF, if you will indulge me posting a non-US coin, I can get us down to a surviorship of 7-10 pieces extant:

It is a Kreuzer from the Austrian Duchy of Wiener Neustadt, dated 1459 AD. Here is more information about this coin from a previous CCF post of mine: http://goccf.com/t/260883

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates

On the other hand, if it really was your intent to restrict this to US coins only, just let me know and I'll delete my post.
"If you climb a good tree, you get a push."
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Heymikep's Avatar
United States
824 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  10:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Heymikep to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Here are two of my coins with a low survival rates. The first is an 1850 Half with an estimated 600 survivorship.

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates

The second is an 1847/6 Half with an estimated 125 survivorship.

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
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CollegeBarbers's Avatar
United States
2618 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  11:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CollegeBarbers to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Rules: You can post pictures of up to three coins in your collection with the lowest estimated survival figures.

MikeF, to clarify, are you talking about lowest overall survival (in all grades), condition rarities, or both?
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Coinfrog's Avatar
United States
94367 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  11:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm sure he means all grades.
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sjkrose's Avatar
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82 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  12:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sjkrose to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Here's my one dollar type set! Off the top of my head, I believe the 1855-D is between 75-100 pieces known.

Enjoy


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Russian Federation
5172 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  12:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add january1may to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
@MikeF, if you will indulge me posting a non-US coin, I can get us down to a surviorship of 7-10 pieces extant:
I think I can get it down to a 4-6 estimate - at least, assuming that my attribution is correct, and that I correctly interpreted the catalogue...

Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates


Elbing, Swedish occupation of, solidus, 1657.

Obverse: CAROL GVST D G, crowned CG monogram within inner circle
Reverse: SOLIDVS PRVSSIAE 57, arms of Elbing in cartouche within inner circle

KM# 65 (listed as "rare"), Numista 96629 (rarity 97 - only my example), Kopicki 9655 (R7, estimated 4-6 examples known).
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MikeF's Avatar
United States
3479 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  10:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MikeF to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
MikeF, to clarify, are you talking about lowest overall survival (in all grades), condition rarities, or both?


Conditional rarities are fine. Just explain why they are rare in their condition. World and ancient coins are fine in my book as well.
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CollegeBarbers's Avatar
United States
2618 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2018  10:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CollegeBarbers to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
1867 2 Cent DDO, estimated survival of 1,500:
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
1894-O Barber dime, also estimated survival of 1,500:
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
Post-Pictures-Of-Your-Coins-With-The-Lowest-Survival-Estimates
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