Looking To Identify Undervalued Coin Types.

I have a love for large size Capped Bust quarters. About 10 years ago I went on a buying spree buying up problem free low to mid grade coins. They WERE under valued at the time (lucky for me). The realized prices climbed until about a couple years ago. Now seems to have leveled out. Seated dollars seem to be under valued when you look at montages, however, there may never be a stronger market for these. Most people will not attempt a set of these. They just settle for a few for the type set. I just keep my eye out for good buys in all areas of classic coinage. I buy it all if I can afford it.

to the CCF!

I work for a large clothing retailer (at that point we were selling women's clothing in a now defunct chain) and once we were in negotiations to buy a demand based planning system for about 15 million dollars. Essentially they took a few years of sales at style-color-size and determined if we had bought more of this style-color-size and less of this style-color-size we would have made more money.

Fine I asked them but how does it predict that Fuschia will be a "demand" color next year (remember you need to buy a year ahead) because some movie star wore it to an awards show and everyone talked about the color? Needless to say they couldn't answer and we didn't buy it.

This is kind of the same situation, a coin might be undervalued because demand isn't there, despite what we think the demand should be, but if that demand never materializes it will remain undervalued. More than many other collectible demand is the driver of key date coins. If the demand is there now the coins value is higher already.

So how do you predict future demand, what will be the hot collectible in the future?

I kind of think Peace dollars might catch on, too, just because I like them.

I think Peace dollars are ugly. Although I like the reverse. Neither of us are right or wrong it's sort of a Ginger or Maryann thing.

But it demonstrate why picking future trends can be so hard

Yes, these big silver melts need to be taken into account. You know that you almost never see a silver 20th century coin in circulation. Where did they all go....into melting pot? So how do we know which silver Washinton, Franklin, Kennedy or Roosevelt coins were melted and how many still exist. It seems the silver Kennedy half dollars are disappearing fast as are 40% silver Ike's. Have you seen one in circulation lately? I have not, but I am not really looking because I am focused on filling my Morgan set.

That was exactly the case of the first president on a regular circulation coin.

I totally misread your post.

Move along, nothing to see here.