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Lincoln Cent Struck Off Center

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Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 12/18/2007  9:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list
This is where we get into an interesting concept. I am going to pose some questions and then add some responses. Could be a good discussion...

Does someone who is an uneducated buyer who will pay $20.00 for something worth $3.00 really make it worth $20.00?

ANSWER: I don't think so. This is , to me similar to folks paying $25.00 for a First Year of issue, Blah, Blah, Blah "run of the mill" 1964 Kennedy half dollar as sold on some of those TV coin selling shows. A seller is ripping a buyer by taking advantage of sales hype that might be true but really doesn't make a coin rare or valuable. This is a seller banking on the ignorance of the buyer. Unfair and unethical in my humble opinion. This often happens on ebay.



The next question is: Is it right for an educated seller on ebay to list something, hype it to death and turn a $3.00 coin into a $20.00 sale?

ANSWER: I don't think so. I used to sell a lot on ebay, I haven't in awhile but I will be eventually. When I sold, many times I would place a buy it now price that would be at a normal retail price for the coin. That would indicate to the buyers what I, as an educated seller thought the coin was worth. Then the coin would be described accurately. I would educate the buyer about the coin. No hype, no BS.

If an educated seller (dealer) puts up a $3.00 coin and hypes it to see if some dummy will pay $20.00 for it, that educated dealer is, in my humble opinion, ruining the hobby for others. Someday the buyer is going to find out that his $20.00 purchase is worth Three bucks unless he can figure out a way to scam another ebay buyer into taking it off his hands. It perpetuates a problem.

Also, there actually are a lot of honest brick and mortar dealers out there that get stuck with the sad task of telling someone with a bunch of stuff that cost someone thousands that the stuff is worth very little in comparison to the purchase price.

There are many honest ebay dealers so the prior comments don't apply to them. There are guys and gals that I can name that sell on ebay (but I wont advertise) who list accurately, educate the buyer in their ads and expect fair prices. The practices of the "not so hot" ebay dealers hurts the good guys as well. That's unjust in my opinion.


The next question? Since the hobby changes, (so lets take VAMS as an example). Is it right for someone to sell a coin on ebay that was purchased for $10.00 and have it turn out to be a rare VAM and now sell it for a thousand dollars?

ANSWER: This is absolutely alright! There is no ethical question here. The fact that the hobby might have come around to realize a rarity can work to the benefit of the collector.

A few examples of how the hobby has changed can make this point.

Years ago, a "frosted" proof as they were called was nice, but no big deal. you could get a "frosted" proof Franklin half, for example pretty inexpensively. Now, since the hobby has come to appreciate the beauty of a nice Cameo Franklin, the prices have escalated.

Many years ago, Die varieties were small potatoes, Now a 1969 S DDO Lincoln is worth a fortune.

The way the collecting patterns change is a legit part of the hobby.

In any case, a ripoff will always be a ripoff. Someone selling a coin with glue on it as a rare error will not cause every other coin with glue on it to increase in value. It just means that someone was goofy enough to buy someone's junk. Looking at what some uneducated buyer spent on a coin is no way to give the coin a value.

My advice is to educate yourself as to what has value and what doesn't. Then educate yourself on how to identify what you are looking at. Paying for a coin with Machine Doubling because you don't know the difference between a doubled die and a machine doubled coin is an education issue.

The fact that some folks pay good money for machine doubled coins, in this example doesn't make them worth anything.

People can collect anything they like and pay whatever they want for it. When others think that prices paid that are not realistic for something become real based upon unrealistic expectations, a serious problem develops.

Anyway...enough for now. This is not a lecture, even if it sounds like one...It is here to throw out some thoughts for discussion.

Thanks,
Bill



Edited by foundinrolls
12/18/2007 10:33 pm
Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 12/19/2007  12:19 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add halfabustisbetter to your friends list
Norm, I think you have a solid grasp of the big picture. Obviously, opinions will differ when it comes to valuing something. If you do end up selling something for more than any 'expert' thought it was 'worth,' and you don't feel comfortable keeping the money, just pass the excess along to me.

Your grandpa had it right in my opinion, and his native intelligence has been borne out economically and mathematically. When evaluating prices and transactions, there are statistical reasons not to assume anything about the intelligence of market participants (buyers and sellers). Sure some people may be overpaying (or underselling) because they are uneducated, but I am not comfortable making that assumption. The internet boom has lent both efficiencies and inefficiencies to the market, and a careful review of trends can help in spotting opportunities.

I am comfortable using ebay and the mass market in general as one of many sources of value information which is why my valuations usually come in a range rather than a single number. By staying flexible and keeping preconceptions out of the mix as much as possible, I hope to at least stay with the curve, even if I can't get out in front all the time. If I am planning on selling something on ebay I take a careful look at what similar items have sold for (and why) before making a final decision on my Buy It Now price rather than just using a grey sheet.

I guess everyone's approach is as valid as the next guy's, and it's up to you to synthesize whatever info you find meets your needs and develop your own approach. I enjoy the discussion and am glad you've chosen this community to share your collecting with. I have a lot of fun here.
Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 12/19/2007  12:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list
I just submit to the average collector that one way of doing it counts on ignorance and one way of doing it counts on an educated buyer.

To prey on the ignorant rather than educate them just bothers me. To see others make excuses for dealing that way bothers me. We are all entitled to an opinion but if I were a buyer on ebay, I'd rather buy from me:-)

Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 12/19/2007  01:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add halfabustisbetter to your friends list
I have been talking about developing a way to value coins that involves educating oneself about the entire marketplace. Ignoring one venue because you think half of the buyers are idiots and the other half are fools is itself not rational, in my opinion. There are several well-respected (by me, anyway) members of this forum who have incredible ebay buying savvy, and I wouldn't want to exclude these purchases from the market value of a coin simply because of an arbitrary 'few-rotten-apples-spoiling-the-whole-bunch' rule.

When I sell coins or anything else on ebay, I post humongous, well-lighted photos. I describe the coins fairly and accurately. I offer a return policy and I don't overcharge for shipping. If I think a particular coin should sell at auction for about $3 and it sells for $5, I don't offer the buyer two bucks back for the good of the hobby. Likewise, if it sells for $2, I don't demand another dollar. I calibrate my 'Buy It Now's based on a survey of completed sales, price guides, and dealer prices. I don't see how this counts on anyone being ignorant. It's how markets work.

In another thread on this site, some people are crowing about someone paying $262 for a 1909VDB that they wouldn't pay more than $50-60 for. Whether the $262 turns out to be a good price for the buyer does not constitute an ethical issue for me. The buyer made a decision based on the available information. No one knows how this one purchase is going to affect the hobby. Say the buyer sends it to PCGS and it comes back 66RD. Stranger things have happened. Maybe they were just looking for a coin that would look awesome in the 7070. Whatever the reason, the transaction amount stays the same.

I report items that violate the rules. I deplore sellers who overgrade, overprice, self-slab, hawk counterfeits, or cross the line in any way to deceive a buyer. Naturally I would love all buyers to care to know something about what they are buying or bidding on. The weight of the hobby is an awfully heavy load to set on one pair of slender shoulders, though.

For what it's worth, I think I would rather buy from you as well. You have faith and confidence in yourself that I don't have in myself. You feel comfortable with your own ability to tell the market what things are worth, whereas I rely on the market to tell me what things are worth.
Edited by halfabustisbetter
12/19/2007 07:59 am
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 Posted 12/19/2007  11:14 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list
While I totally agree with Bill in theory, I think Half has hit it on the head. Values have been and always will be established by the marketplace. Like it or not ebay, with it's vast array of buyers and sellers, is fast becoming one of the major venues for selling/buying coins in the world today. Uneducated buyers will always be part of the valuation process and you just can't discount it. To do so would be sacrificing earnings in the name of opinion. From a completely capitalistic position, to not put your product you intend to sell on ebay and let market forces work as they will is cutting yourself short. I am never going to presume what something is worth to someone else, nor is it my job to educate them. As Half stated, be as accurate as possible with your description, post good pics and get the heck out of the way.
Jim
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 Posted 12/19/2007  2:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add norham to your friends list
I'm one of those uneducated buyers.(I would imagine every one, was at one time, a "uneducated buyer"). How do you get educated? You join a forum like this one, you invest in books, you read everything you can get your hands on, you look at pictures in grading books. Getting educated takes work, time and desire to be good at what you do. Oh and you make some mistakes and you learn from them. As far as e-bay is concerned they at least have a way for you to search past items and prices paid. Any one buying on e-bay has a computer and access to way more information than they probably need to make an "educated" decision. We are talking coins, but doing research on anything you buy is a good idea from airplanes to zappers In this day and age it's easier than ever to research. Oh and if you want to buy something it is probably on e-bay and cheaper if they don't rip you on shipping.
Norm
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 Posted 12/19/2007  3:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list
I actually agree with all that was said above. My problem with auction sites is not with the folks here. It's when values or prices are inferred by the sale of what really amounts to pieces of pocket change that gets sold on ebay and other auction forums.

I've seen, in the past some guy selling Lincoln cents from the 1980s that have a rough surface that because there is a lump under the nose hypes it into a "Rare Lincoln Cent with Snot" and getting $5.00 for it. That to me is a diservice to whoever buys a coin like that. There's junk like that all over some auction sites and uneducated buyers are falling for it.

If some guy puts up a coin that is worth $3.00 and ends up with a $5.00 bid, I have no problem. That is the market at work. If someone puts up something worth zero and sits back and says" somebody will buy it if I hype it right" and then gets $5.00 thats just wrong.

My issue is that some people create a market for something that is entirely worthless by most numismatic standards and then get a ridiculous amount of money for it because someone is dopey enough to buy it.

As I said, I used to set my "buy it nows" for several reasons. One is that a quick turnaround "ain't" bad and the other was so that some uneducated person won't bid higher. I sorta set a limit on how much I would accept for a coin or small antique item.

I wasn't concerned about how much I got over what a coin would normally be worth. I was concerned about sleeping at night. I always made a profit and I never had to worry about a buyer getting good value for his money.
Edited by foundinrolls
12/19/2007 3:21 pm
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 Posted 12/19/2007  4:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list
Amen, Bill. Don't think I was disagreeing about unethical sellers, you are dead on. We don't get rich at this anyway and your integrity is worth a whole lot more. By the way, you don't have one of those "Snot Nose Lincolns" do you?
Jim
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 Posted 12/19/2007  4:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add norham to your friends list
Jim
Your out of luck I did a search on e-bay----nota
Norm
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 Posted 12/19/2007  5:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add halfabustisbetter to your friends list
Too bad, that's not fair.

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 Posted 12/19/2007  9:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppercoins to your friends list
Most people here know where I stand on the issue of deriving values from closed ebay auctions - it's not a realistic measure of the market. End of story.
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 Posted 12/20/2007  07:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add halfabustisbetter to your friends list

Quote:
it's not a realistic measure of the market.


Maybe I'm just not understanding what you mean by 'the market.' To what market are you referring?
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 Posted 12/20/2007  08:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppercoins to your friends list
Same thing that has been said time and time again...

Because less than educated people will but die cracks on ebay for $10 each doesn't make them worth $10 each. Looking on ebay to justify value in things that have no recognized value is a pipe dream, end of story. Now...to back you up, if you're looking for a price for an 1835 bust half in AU and you paruse through ebay for closed auction prices, you'll find it to be a relatively accurate measure of the value of an 1835 bust half in AU, considering you average 10-20 auction ending prices...but all too often I see people find some silly die crack and claim it to be worth half a mollion dollars because someone on ebay offered a similar one for that kind of money. Of course this is exaggerated, but a lot of truth can be seen in that statement with some people right here.

So, I guess what I am stating is that ebay, because of the large number of people selling there that have no clue and the large number of people buying there that have no clue, is not a good or realistic measure of the die variety and error markets.

And to that end, it's also not a good measure of the high grade market unless you specifically search for PCGS or NGC graded coins, because none of the other companies count, and raw coins are graded all over the board in ebay auctions.
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 Posted 12/20/2007  10:47 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list
Speaking strictly from a numismatic value, things like run of the mill die cracks tend to sell at ridiculous prices on ebay. I agree whole heartedly that less than scrupulous dealers improperly hype these things and pry on unsuspecting buyers.

My point earlier was that I choose not to take the high brow position that my method of evaluation of a coins' value is necessarily the only one that is relevant. Most here know that I love going to estate auctions that sell coins. There is one on the coast of Delaware I really enjoy, except when a gentleman from India shows up and buys every run of the mill Morgan way above value. He is spending $25 to $30 on a coin that should sell for $15. One day I introduced myself and have come to know him very well. My wife and I visit his store quite often. This is the point, he owns an antique store in a coastal tourist area and has found out that if he puts Morgan dollars in his case by the register, he can sell every one he gets for between $40 and $50. He admits that he does not know a Morgan from a Bob or a Harry, only that they sell to the tourists. This is my position. I will not presume that my preconceived idea of what a coin is worth is the only one that counts.

There is in fact many different markets that a coin can move through and each one may establish an entirely different value on that same coin. I choose to see that the market place is vast with different foundations for value. Moving between these can be very rewarding as my friend has shown. He buys coins at a auction full of coin snobs who by his standard are undervaluing them. We think he is uneducated while he knows we are.

I ask you, who is wrong?
Jim
Edited by Jim1953
12/20/2007 11:16 am
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 Posted 12/20/2007  12:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add norham to your friends list
quote:
"I choose to see that the market place is vast with different foundations for value. Moving between these can be very rewarding as my friend has shown. He buys coins at a auction full of coin snobs who by his standard are undervaluing them. We think he is uneducated while he knows we are."
My guess is this guy Knows his market! poor uneducated fool.

Norm
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