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Silver And Gold Free Fall

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bystander's Avatar
United States
30 Posts
 Posted 05/09/2012  08:38 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add bystander to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
We may buy a cheaper 2012 ASE San Fran Set?

Where will be the bottom of silver, any idea? Thanks!
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Earle42's Avatar
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 05/09/2012  08:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Impossible to say really. A lot of people here are deep into PMs, and if we knew this kind of info, we could all be rich by buying as low as possible and then selling as high as possible.

I personally believe the market is being manipulated and that if left to itself, silver would be much higher right now.

Also, if the people holding hypothetical/electronic-in-a-computer-file silver would want to cash in and demand physical metal, the price would most likely skyrocket b/c (from what I have learned here and online), people playing with the market who have these type of "holdings" deal with far larger numbers than the actual amount of silver in existence.

At the risk of sounding political, I also see a huge leap in price if the current administration gets re-elected simply b/c the tanking of the economy normally makes people ant something solid to put their money into. I am convinced this is why silver spiked as it did the last few years - people losing jobs, terrified of what was coming. Then the price was manipulated downward by the powers that be.

My opinion is to be in it for the long run and you most definitely cannot lose - since silver retains its value.

A silver dime's value will still buy the same amount of gasoline as it did in 1964. The same cannot be said about non-silver coins made in the 70's etc. - these have lost tremendous value.
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eaglefoot's Avatar
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6326 Posts
 Posted 05/09/2012  09:02 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add eaglefoot to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Silver and Gold free fall
Where will be the bottom of silver, any idea?


I would not be so quick to call the Gold and Silver markets a "free-fall".
I'll be impressed, however, if Gold falls to below $1,000.00.....and Silver falls below $20.00.

THEN ! That would be an impressive impact hitting "free-fall" that I would sit up and take note of.

But just a sharp "fluctuation" in the markets is normal and usually VERY fleeting.
The term "roller-coaster ride" is applied to these markets for a reason. They go up and down constantly, sometimes reflecting world events.....elections.....certain country's buying and/or selling.....economies, etc., etc., etc., ......sometimes there are drastic sharp "falls" that are unexplainable too, at least to the "common Joe".
But they generally seem to recover and generally seem to stay in a "neighborhood" of the same level they were at previously.
Hard to say when an "exception" to this will happen (and of course they DO happen, but not very often does it stabilize at that raised or lowered level)........

YOU'D BE A VERY RICH MAN IF YOU WERE ABLE TO PREDICT THAT ONE !!
Edited by eaglefoot
05/09/2012 09:03 am
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bystander's Avatar
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 Posted 05/09/2012  09:02 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bystander to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thank you, Earle42.
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bystander's Avatar
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 Posted 05/09/2012  09:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bystander to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
You are right, eaglefoot.
Thanks for your response.
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wquinn's Avatar
United States
2295 Posts
 Posted 05/09/2012  09:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wquinn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Great question. I wish someone had the answer. Where are all of the psychics when you need one?

Don't forget about the silver spike of 1980. Look how long it took to recover? And don't always expect it to recover, if it spikes up. Look at the price of the 1950-D nickel. It is still a lot cheaper now, than it was around 1960.

A lot of the price of silver and gold follows the price of oil. Look how cheap oil was in the 90s and look how cheap gold and silver were. I've read that gold follows oil, in price, but it has a lag time of around 6 months. It is probably much shorter of a lag time now, since we have the internet and how info travels, so fast these days.

And we have a more active world market than ever before. Look at what the economies of Greece and Italy have done to ours? Since when were we ever dependent on them? But they did have a serious affect on us.

Lots of variables are involved in the prices of gold and silver.

Someone needs to write a program and get it to predict those prices.

And don't forget about the speculators and the people that buy futures on them.
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Coinstar's Avatar
United States
1510 Posts
 Posted 05/09/2012  09:47 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinstar to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
when it hits 27 buy silver
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mitchhailey's Avatar
United States
1150 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  12:26 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mitchhailey to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think silver is a steal at these prices!
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  01:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I dont know if Silver is necessarily in a free fall. It certainly lost some value but literally EVERYTHING did with the mess in Europe and Greece especially. Look for EVERYTHING to keep falling some more (might be a good time to buy some stocks too) and when Greeces bailout gets pulled because they are to stubborn to help themselves we could see a bottoming out with a rebound.

We can all thank the Euro idea for the looming mess. That said while I do have a few bullion coins I wouldnt go out and buy large bars of silver. I personally like coins whose value is based more off the coin than the metal for the most part, but silver halfs or something like that arent a bad idea either as a safety plan. Easily tradeable in the event you need them, and if silver does really plummet their value wont be affected as much as silver bars or anything like that
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  11:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
We can all thank the Euro idea for the looming mess.

We don't have to look that far afield to find out who is spending more money than they have. There seems to be plenty of that going on right here in the USA.

I would agree that if there is a monetary collapse, it will likely start in Europe and then come here as more people realize that the US is NOT a safe haven that will protect them from European monetary problems. They will think that initially, so money fleeing Europe will likely go into US dollars and Treasuries. Once the contagion reaches the US, however, the thin veneer of that assumed protection will become shockingly clear to one and all.

Right now, there are two gigantic economy busters on the loose... derivatives and government bonds. Either or both of these could easily collapse the entire world economy. The only questions are: 1) will they?; and 2) if so, when?
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