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Replies: 15 / Views: 2,150 |
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Valued Member
United States
461 Posts |
Ok I took about a nine month break from coins from December until July as I was focusing on ironman training and needed a few new things for my bike and race (I need cheaper hobbies coins and triathlons aren't cheap). I really like the HOF coins but no way would I pay such ridiculous markups on brand new coin (I mean I'd consider such markups to own the 2001 Buffalo commem but not the HOF). I mean the coins seem to be going for double what I like to pay for modern commem dollars. What did I miss? And what is this recent turn to collecting labels, I just don't get it nor do I don't get spending $1250 for that new JFK gold coin when its not even a full ounce of gold, if I had $1250 to spend I would get a Saint Gaudens it just seems like it would hold its value better in the long run once the hype runs off these coins. Heck if I had $1250 to spend I would finish my 7070 and get some nice Seated dollars for it. I could sell off my entire collection and get 2 of those JFK gold coins but that just seems silly (thats what happens when you have to liquidate your collection twice its like starting all over again and again) as its taken me years to build a decent 7070 again and I just wouldn't want to trade it for a couple of these over hyped coins. And the labels thing, does anyone really believe a label is going to hold value over the long run. Seriously someone paying $98,750 for a label that says ANA first coin they could have got a chain cent a truly rare coin for that. What am I missing?
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Valued Member
United States
234 Posts |
I agree- chasing labels isn't quite my cup of tea. I think the price jumped so high on the HOF coins simply because of the wide appeal, not only to coin collectors but also baseball fans, plus its the US mint's first curved coins. But yes, they are selling for more than I'd like to pay, too.
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Valued Member
 United States
461 Posts |
So its kind of like the Buffalo commem dollar just has a design that has great appeal, I'd like to see one of these in hand the curved idea seems interesting just not sure I want to spend that much for a commem dollar right now (I want to finish my 7070 first and the cost of one of these would get me a nice bust half I need).
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CCF Master Historian of USA Commemoratives
 United States
12266 Posts |
A big part of the initial price increases for the Baseball HOF coins was the result of the hype created by large dealers and the two largest grading services â€" PCGS and NGC. Yes, there was strong collector interest due to the subject matter, but a significant part of the demand was artificial hype. If you compare the secondary market prices for many of the coins today with what they were in late-March, April and May you will find that they have retreated. A typical MS-69 silver dollar, for example, currently generally sells for $65 to $75 on ebay (often with free shipping) â€" back in April they were generally $120 and up. Prices for the gold coin have also retreated. I believe the 2001 Buffalo SD had/has more "true" collector demand and will continue to outpace the HoF SD going forward. Regarding the special inserts/labels, it's hard to say what the future holds for some of them. For many older/traditional collectors they carry very little meaning. They are avidly collected by many folks today, however, and may wind up being a lasting part of the hobby. I think the proliferation of the label varieties will lessen their collectability as there will simply be too many of them â€" they'll stop being "special" â€" but there might be some that always carry a premium. One comment about the gold JFK...The premium placed on the ¾ ounce gold coin by the US Mint is actually quite reasonable (and much less than other world mints would charge). It is not a bullion coin and so is not priced as one. Its proof finish elevates it past bullion pieces and requires a numismatic premium. I haven't bought one, but I think the price point is what should be expected for such a piece.
Collecting history one coin or medal at a time! (c) commems. All rights reserved.
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Valued Member
 United States
461 Posts |
commems did you ever follow the comic book crash of the 1990's? They released so many different variations and different covers it pretty much crashed the market and the comic book industry still hasn't fully recovered. I get a feeling if they keep doing this with different labels the same fate can be had of label collectors. There is no value to them at all except what the end user puts on them as they can make as many different ones of these as they want. There is only so many legitimate chain cents where they could make hundreds of different labels.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4901 Posts |
Quote: I mean the coins seem to be going for double what I like to pay for modern commem dollars. What did I miss? Demand increases prices and "modern commem dollars" do not have the same demand...thus the price difference. I won't get into the comic book/beanie baby/special coin label thing
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Valued Member
United States
274 Posts |
Interesting comparison to the comic book industry. I've often wondered if the coin hobby could suffer a similar fate as the comic book or baseball card hobbies (both seemed to crash, with values dropping quite a bit). I haven't understood the various hobbies enough to make an intelligent comparison, though. It seems like different environments, maybe, that control the value of what is being collected?
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Rest in Peace
United States
4078 Posts |
Sirdizzy and Commems,  I did buy a silver HOF from the mint and the mint did get their, "seigniorage," = Their profit on making the coin. Hope I'm using the meaning correct. Which is holly cow in my book. Still a unique coin that will appeal to a number of collectors and non-collectors. Time will tell on the TPG's labeling. IMHO I will not get mine graded, meaning less money for the TPG's.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1037 Posts |
There is a small segment of numismatists who have the compulsion and resources to buy the first coin, or first day of issuance coin. There is another slightly larger segment who do not have any patience to wait months for a Mint order and they have the need to obtain the coins ASAP.
Both of these segment have driven the hype & price out of the "Ball Park". Once these segments are satisfied, the prices will start to drop, the market will stabilize the true valve of the coin.
As for me, I do not mind ordering from the Mint and waiting for my product, since I keep coins in their OGP. I ordered one of each HOF coins on 03-31-2014, by the time of my order the gold coins were already sold out. On July 2nd the coins started to trickle in and the last one arrived 07-22-2014.
Edited by welder 08/10/2014 5:36 pm
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CCF Master Historian of USA Commemoratives
 United States
12266 Posts |
@sirdizzy: I never followed the comic book market, but I was an observer to what happened to stamps, trading cards and Beanie Babies. Hype and over production doomed each of them. (Full disclosure: I have never purchased a Beanie Baby, but did look on with amusement when they were being hawked as a collectible "investment.") Quote: There is no value to them at all except what the end user puts on them Interesting comment. Isn't this always the case regardless of the item? Please understand, I'm not an advocate of the special labels. I buy coins, not labels. But there are many different types of collectors out there, and a group of them definitely enjoy collecting special labels. Who knows were things will settle? Certainly not me! 
Collecting history one coin or medal at a time! (c) commems. All rights reserved.
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Valued Member
 United States
461 Posts |
Are the hof still available to order from the mint I have plenty of patience to wait. How much did the mint charge?
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Valued Member
United States
317 Posts |
If the Mint stops making coins available early at the shows then the labels go away. I'd suggest you fill out the survey on the US Mint website and tell them to stop offering the coins at shows like they did with the HOF and Kennedy coins and just have them on display.
I don't think its fair to allow a few lucky people the opportunity to get coins right there on spot while I have to wait months to receive my order. Let everybody who wants them be able to get them within the same time frame. Don't make the coins available to purchase locally until the first shipment has gone out.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4901 Posts |
Quote: Are the hof still available to order from the mint I have plenty of patience to wait. How much did the mint charge? The gold sold out in less than a day and the silver was toast in a week. The gold was (approximite) $440 and silver a tad over $50 (pf's slightly higher than unc's)
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Pillar of the Community
United States
5850 Posts |
Having lived through (and participated in) both the comic book and Beanie Baby crashes, I can say with nearly 100% certainty that coin collecting is heading the same way. My only hope is that when the inevitable crash comes it will only affect the value of graded coins with "special" ( i.e., completely meaningless) labels and not hurt the hobby as a whole. Coins have been collected for hundreds of years, so I don't see the overall interest in the hobby disappearing anytime soon. And, especially with regards to classic coins, it's not like the available numbers are getting any larger. But, yeah. There might very well come a day in the not so distant future when "first strike" and similar labels will add precisely ZERO to the value of a coin. And perhaps many of the more recent "collectibles" issued by the mint will end up being worth little if anything above melt value. I'd like to think that anything truly unique or historically significant (whether it be the HOF coins, the Gold Kennedy half dollars, the first Reverse Proof ASE, etc.) will remain valuable regardless of what happens to the hobby of collecting labels, but only time will tell.
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Valued Member
United States
157 Posts |
Even though it's not a bullion coin and a proof strike, a markup of over $300 above melt is a bit much. If I ever get one, it will have to come down to closer to melt. I agree with OP... I'd grab a St. Gaudens before I'd pay for one of these gold Kennedys.
Originally I liked the idea of the special 4 coin silver set coming out later this year, but starting to also think of it as a homey gimmick. Seems silly that we're now making what are essentially commemoratives to commemorate coins themselves.
As for the baseball HOFs... I've got a full set of six from an opening day purchase and like them. Despite secondary market prices coming down, I think the fact that the golds and silvers sold out will help maintain value above issue price.
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Valued Member
United States
109 Posts |
I believe the mint uses the same mark-up table for all of their gold coins, so if you don't like their price on the Kennedy coins then you must also not like their prices on any gold coins.
The true value a TPC provides is the evaluation of the coin by a neutral party, so a buyer & seller can at least agree on something. The buyer might feel the coin should have graded lower & the seller might feel the coin should have graded higher, but the can agree a neutral party has given their opinion. The "First / Early" portion of the label provides no true value, but does provide quite a bit of perceived value. . .because buyers have proven they will pay a significant premium to have those words on the label.
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Replies: 15 / Views: 2,150 |
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