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Coinweek Article On Difficulties Finding Good Coins To Buy At Coin Shows

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Joe2007's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 04/02/2016  10:53 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add Joe2007 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Coin Collecting Strategies - Why Can't I Find Coins to Buy at a Coin Show?
http://www.coinweek.com/dealers-com...a-coin-show/

Very insightful article in my opinion on the difficulties that collectors face in getting premium coins for their collections at a decent price. Points #3 (Shadow Coin Show) and #5 (Building Relationships With Dealers) are of particular interest to me and I believe that there is a lot of truth in what Mr. Winter writes. Many coin shows are geared towards dealer to dealer transactions and the collector often becomes are mere afterthought with most of the profit already being made and the best coins at the show already being off the market (or have been flipped and marketed up several times) before the collector has a chance to even see them.

As a lower middle class collector I've often found that dealers, although pleasant, don't really consider customers such as myself as their bread and butter. Sure they might rather have my $500 purchase than not, however they don't go out of their way to get my business, I suppose they are just waiting for the next $10,000 bullion sale to come along or the stereotypical heirs with an unwanted collection to come along so that they can make real $$$$. I don't know if it true but I get the impression that the good stuff is already gone when I come to make a purchase, already sold to other dealers and high roller collectors. I don't blame them for that, but it is a bit frustrating at times. Seems that the only way to get a chance at the good stuff is on Heritage or at another auction venue. I went to an local auction a few years back that had some really fabulous fresh to market coins, the quality of which I haven't seen since in the inventories of dealers.

Your thoughts?
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chequer's Avatar
Canada
4227 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2016  11:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add chequer to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think your thoughts (and the article) are right on point for that ~$500 price range. It's tough to find decent coins for some reason. Thanks for sharing.
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 Posted 04/02/2016  11:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jmkendall to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
There is some truth to that. I'm a dealer. Some Shows are indeed mostly dealer to dealer, and I'm not sure why the general public is invited. Though those are rarer than most think.

To show why I'll post a real example from my other business; comics. There is a certain key issue of Action that is very, very rare; less than 13 known examples. Most of which can not be expected to come up for sale.

One particular example was bought by a dealer and slabbed. Once he was done telling people he owned it; he passed it on to another dealer; at a slight mark up. This comic went through the hands of at least 12 dealers in a 3 year period. All so the owners could stroke their ego's and tell the world that THEY had that issue. Eventually the market dried up. The dealer market, that is. Well, the price had gone up 5 fold in 3 years and by the time it got offered to the original dealer, he had no interest in it at that price. It was then offered to the public but no one was interested in it at the price it had crept up to. Eventually the price collapesed and it disappeared into a private collection.

The point is that dealer to dealer sales had inflated the price way beyond where the public could or would afford it.

I saw a NGC slabbed buffalo in MS66 that was easily $40 above retail. When I pointed that out to the dealer; he admitted I was right but said he could not sell it any cheaper.


When I go to shows I sell much more to the public than to other dealers. Especially because dealers want such steep discounts; mostly so that they can flip them. My take is that why should I sell something at half price so that someone else can sell the same coin at the same show? Don't get me wrong, I still sell to other dealers; mostly so I can buy from them myself. However; the public generally accounts for 80 percent of my sales.
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21786 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  12:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Bargains are always reasonably easy to locate.
All you need is wide ranging interests, across the whole of numismatics, ancient to modern, and 40+ years of collecting experience.

Only problem is, that one may be lacking in specialist knowledge in any specific area. For this reason, I am always ready to listen to anyone who is ready to share their specialist knowledge.
That's one of the reasons why I am here in the CCF.
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Australia
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 Posted 04/03/2016  12:16 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add gxseries to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm somewhat under the impression that coins are classified as "luxury" items and therefore can be priced as what the dealers need in order for them to make a living.


Now just a bit of a sidetrack which may explain why prices have been going up -

I somehow managed to find an invoice that I bought about 10 years ago and so many things have changed since then:

Silver was around 5-7 usd / oz, gold at 800 usd / oz, platinum at 1000 usd / oz (I could be wrong)

Shipping from US to Australia was really cheap for a single coin - about 2 USD. Nowadays a lot of sellers insist on using registered mail which is more than 20 USD. Books could be sent for that price back then. Now I expect to pay at least 50+ USD minimum.

I remember buying pound lot from the US and shipping was under 10USD. I think shipping would have at least doubled since then.

That was way before oil prices went above 100+USD / barrel. Now that it has gone down, has shipping price gone down? No, it has gone up! I can only imagine insurance, rent, bills etc all have gone up as well.


Now back to the topic - I can only imagine the challenges of being a coin dealer - not only do you have to worry about tax, insurance, rent, bills, etc, I have to speculate the challenges of finding / buying decent stocks. Without having a nice inventory, it's hard to gather a crowd!

My partial coin collection http://www.omnicoin.com/collection/gxseries
My numismatics articles and collection: http://www.gxseries.com/numis/numis_index.htm
Regularly updated at least once a month.
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oriole's Avatar
Canada
5239 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  08:02 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add oriole to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What an interesting article!

I think that this subject could be debated/ discussed for hours.

I am in Canada and I have been slowly losing interest in the coin shows. I am mostly interested in foreign. I thought that it was partly because of my expanding collection and changing tastes, but I also think that less new material has been showing up.

A dealer who I am friendly with mentioned that he was having trouble finding new stuff.

In the context of dealers flipping over and over again, eventually if it doesn't get to the collector there won't be a market, as that comic book example showed.

In the context of dealers buying from other dealers at special 'dealers' prices, I was once privy to a conversation between two dealers. Dealer 2 wanted a "dealer" price on a certain banknote from Dealer 1. Dealer 1 said that nobody gave him a "dealer" price and stuck to his guns. Dealer 2 eventually paid more. So the "dealer" price may be a ploy in some cases.

I find that I have better luck maintaining a good relationship with my local coin shops, who sometimes tell me when new material comes in.

What is quite clear is that it is a different collecting world now than 20-40 years ago.

Either we adapt and take advantage of the new world or we have to move on.
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chequer's Avatar
Canada
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 Posted 04/03/2016  08:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add chequer to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@oriole I've found the same problem with world coins over the years at shows, which is why I was somewhat surprised to see a number of dealers at the RCNA show in Halifax stocking them. I do see the upcoming Geoffrey Bell Auction at the Toronto Coin Expo has some decent world coins too.
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Broken-Coin's Avatar
United States
1812 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  08:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Broken-Coin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@sel_69l

100% that knowledge is required when collecting..

I just posted a reply on why I chose my Avatar, & it explains my Numismatic history..

I recently found a group of ancient & medieval coins that have not seen the light of day in over 10 years, and needs to be Identified..
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United States
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 Posted 04/03/2016  09:32 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
So much depends on the show, how many there are, where located, size of show, etc. Large shows have expensive coins due to the cost for dealers. Small shows have better prices on coins but less choices. Regardless of anything I've found that at smaller shows you get to know dealers and can almost order what you want. Almost, that is. By me there are so many coin shows and repetative dealers, that you get to know them and they you. I've had many dealers look for certain coins and for certain prices for me for a long time. And I've received numerous free Albums and Folders. And even a free coin now and then. I spend time talking to dealers and getting to know them. Over the years I've been able to find almost anything I want in time.
I have heard similar stories from people about not finding what they need or want. Usually those are from people that don't even say hi to a dealer.
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oriole's Avatar
Canada
5239 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  09:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add oriole to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well, if auctions are draining all the material from shows, we will just have to start using auctions instead. I have not done this but I am thinking of starting.

I know some in our coin club you use them extensively, as the material they want is not seen otherwise.
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oriole's Avatar
Canada
5239 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  12:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add oriole to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks, @chequer. I checked out the Jeffrey Bell auctions, and there seems to be some material worth bidding on. The world lots will get you a lot of extra material, so you would need some way of disposing of the extras.

Some of the Canadian lots are bulk silver, and the starting prices are quite reasonable. So this will give a true market value I would think.

Of course tax and tip (buyer's fee) adds 30%!
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KenKat's Avatar
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 Posted 04/03/2016  12:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add KenKat to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Interesting article. I have been to coin shows and have picked up some nice coins but it's a lot of work if you are looking for specific coins. So, for example, when I was looking for multiple coins for my 7070 Type Set or my 7100 Lincoln set, I could peruse each dealer's display and maybe find something, But looking for specific coins now - for example, a 15-S Lincoln Cent in the MS63RB range - is like trying to find a needle in a haystack. One, even if you do find one, no one seems to want to actually sell it at a market price and two, you probably are not even going to find anything worth looking at 90% of the time. One thing I like about auctions is that it tends to force market pricing.

Ultimately, it makes sense to me at least to use all the avenues available - coin shows, coin stores, ebay and auction sites like Heritage. And CCF of course if possible.
Edited by KenKat
04/03/2016 12:38 pm
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Buymyemu's Avatar
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215 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  12:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Buymyemu to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
1) what defines "a good coin to buy"?

2) My local dealer sells Canadian silver dollars for about a 70% premium over ebay, can't afford to get to know him.

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BigSilver's Avatar
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 Posted 04/03/2016  1:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BigSilver to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My LCS always questions me, why do I bother with the shows. I will pay way more there than I would at his store, and he is correct. Shows are great to look around and see interesting items that are way out of my range, but not so great for buying.
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Connor's Avatar
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2130 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  1:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Connor to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Joe...Very interesting article and thanks for posting it. I agree with your thoughts. I understand the dealers point of view but I also consider myself a lower middle class collector. A dealer is going to pay more attention to the people that "pays the bills" and I get it. I am slowly becoming more patient and picky the longer I collect. I determine if I like the eye appeal and price of the coin and if my price doesn't match the dealers price I just move on. I seem to always have better luck with auctions.
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oriole's Avatar
Canada
5239 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2016  2:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add oriole to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It is quite true that a dealer will pay more attention to a "high roller" rather than the 10 year old there with a parent.

But the better dealer should not ignore the 10 year old, since you need a good supply of 10 year olds today to grow a single "high roller" of tomorrow.

There will always be a place, though, for the "low roller" in small or regional shows. There are quite a few small dealers who do this as a hobby and are prepared to give the time of day to small buyers (and small sellers for that matter).

Our RCNA convention gives a lot of attention to the young collector. Better shows can also do this.
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