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Swr Toonies What Are The Odds?

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T1Steel's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  2:44 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add T1Steel to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
How rare would a toonie roll with Queen's head and GITD
ends be ? Any math pros out there ?
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punman's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  4:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add punman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Odds of left end being Queens head is one half. Odds of right end being coloured is one-third times one-half showing outwards = one-sixth. So odds of both queens head left and colours-outward is 1/2 times 1/6 = 1/12.

Same odds for colored on left, queen on right. So odds of coloured either end with head on opposite end should be 1/12 plus 1/12 = 2/12 or 1/6 or 17%. I m a retired math teacher but I stress retired so I could be off on this but I feel it is right. I am sticking with 17%.

The test is on Tuesday.
Edited by punman
04/16/2017 4:07 pm
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 Posted 04/16/2017  6:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Looney4Numi to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Same odds for colored on left, queen on right. So odds of coloured either end with head on opposite end should be 1/12 plus 1/12 = 2/12 or 1/6 or 17%. I m a retired math teacher but I stress retired so I could be off on this but I feel it is right. I am sticking with 17%.

The test is on Tuesday.

Thanks, punman! Here's another practice drill for your test on Tuesday...lol

What are the odds of toonie coloured at one end and regular toonie reverse on the other? (too lazy to figure it out)
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 Posted 04/16/2017  6:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silveroid to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
But I not sure, that were minted same amount of GITD and regular coins. I think, the proportion is unknown.
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Looney4Numi's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  7:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Looney4Numi to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@Silveroid

In the "Question" section the mint site states:

"average distribution is approximately a 2:1 ratio of uncoloured to coloured for the $2 roll. Please keep in mind that this is only an estimate."
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 Posted 04/16/2017  8:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add punman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
What are the odds of toonie coloured at one end and regular toonie reverse on the other? (too lazy to figure it out)


Do you want the non-head sides facing out in both cases?
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 Posted 04/16/2017  8:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Looney4Numi to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Do you want the non-head sides facing out in both cases?

Yes, please. I have a toonie roll with the coloured reverse on one end, and the non-coloured reverse at the other end. I think this might be rare.
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punman's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  8:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add punman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Without boring you with the math it is a little rarer than the other case but not by much. It is 1/9 or 11% chance. If you bought 8-10 rolls you'd probably get one with this configuration but not guaranteed. You might get none, you might get three. Probability predicts likelihood, not certainty (unless chances are 0% or 100%).
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T1Steel's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  8:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add T1Steel to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks punman.
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Looney4Numi's Avatar
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 Posted 04/16/2017  9:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Looney4Numi to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thank you very much punman. I appreciate your answer!
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 Posted 04/16/2017  10:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silveroid to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
"average distribution is approximately a 2:1 ratio of uncoloured to coloured for the $2 roll. Please keep in mind that this is only an estimate."


thank you, Looney
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