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Replies: 24 / Views: 4,320 |
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New Member
Canada
6 Posts |
Hello everyone, I've been lurking for a while and now that I have serious questions I thought I'd registered and ask this wise community. So I've had little experience with coin collecting since I did have this juvenile circulation coin collection since as you all know that in Canada, many commemorative circulation coins have been released in the passed 2 decades but now I want to jump into silver. I have absolutely no experience in investing in it. I've looked up in YT vids how semi numi like Kookaburra or the pandas age well every year and that they mature and in crease with age slighty every year due to low mintage and demand. However now that silver is quite cheap, I'd like to put my money in it while the going is good. TL;DRGiven that I have no experience in stacking or investing in silver, would it be a good idea to drop some money on silver? Like at least $300? Also what good websites/books exist that I can read up on that any of you would recommend for me to read so I can get a greater insight in this? I've been to websites like Monarch Precious Metals and JMBullion and they seem tempting and fairly cheap. So would it be worth getting 5 or 10oz bar? Also I'd like to get some insight on where the seller's market is in Canada. ebay? Coin Shops? Forums? Local? I greatly appreciate any help I get on here.
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New Member
 Canada
6 Posts |
On a random note, I have absolutely no idea why JM Bullion became a hyperlink.
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Valued Member
United States
453 Posts |
I have a pretty small amount of money in pms but I will give you my rather simple opinion based on my experience. Kitco and APMEX are two sites I like for info and purchases. Keep an eye out for APMEX specials they sometimes do very low premiums on bullion coins. I stay away from bars, I know they have a lower premium per oz but I have heard can be harder to unload, probably more an issue when talking gold but I like 1 oz rounds. As for when to invest I prefer to do it on a regular basis regardless of current price, I base this practice on dollar cost averaging because I plan to keep this investment for a while. I know there are much more sophisticated investers on this site who are sure to chime in and I am looking forward to their input.
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New Member
 Canada
6 Posts |
I greatly appreciate your input Srcliff, I will definitely go to those sites for more info.
I also see where you're coming from. It is a good idea to go into it and be doing it for a while as to not make any hasty rash decisions. However given how cheap silver is, that's why I'd like to ask the community to get an understanding on how to jump start my collection/investment for years to come.
You've also suggested a good point that it's not necessary to get bars.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
3049 Posts |
Is silver cheap? I think that's a matter of perspective....if you are looking short term I still think there is a bit more it may go down....
One thing I am liking a lot more every day is the GSR....if that hits 80 I WILL be selling all my gold for silver.
Now there are some things I would ask of you before I dole out too much advice... Why are you now interested in silver? What purpose does is serve you to buy silver? What kind of time frame do you think you would be "into" silver?
Perhaps starting with that information I may be better to help answer any of your questions..
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New Member
 Canada
6 Posts |
Ah, excellent questions AgCoinAu "Now there are some things I would ask of you before I dole out too much advice... Why are you now interested in silver? What purpose does is serve you to buy silver? What kind of time frame do you think you would be "into" silver" Honestly, this may sound naive but I'll go out and say it. There is a channel on youtube of an individual who had said how due to their investment in silver in the early 2000's, they had managed to cash it in for a great profit. So I figure it's good to have this type of investment to have for a rainy day like university or car payments. Given that the prices for silver are quite low and are continually dropping (as of today, it did rise a bit), I figure it's an excellent opportunity to buy some so I can sell it in 5-10 years. Although honestly, there are some I'd keep. I'm not a fan of what the Pamp silver is housed in however the bars themselves look absolutely gorgeous. So eventually I might transition into canadian numismatics since I adore what the RCM makes. However the main focus right now is to get into it while it's cheap. *revision* Going back at the history of silver prices since 2000, I wouldn't say it's cheap since I have no gauge on that however they are slowly dwindling to those low prices in 2000-2002. I appreciate your help and I really look forward to what your thoughts on this are.
Edited by Mintyfresh 11/07/2014 11:03 am
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1391 Posts |
Mintyfresh: I would like to comment a few things you said. First of all, paying for college or a car is not a rainy day type of thing. You probably need a car to get to your job, and if you are going into a job the you will need a college education, then those are things that must be budgeted for not can not be viewed as rainy day expenses. The reason I say this is because you should never put money that you will need in the short term (say like next ten years), into something that will have you locked up. Taking silver as you example, yes the markets have been all over the place the last couple of years. But look at the markets for a couple of decades and you sill see they stay relatively flat. Yes there was a big run on silver with the economic uncertainty, there was also a big run on silver back in the 80's. Not that I know the future, but if you buy bunch of silver today, it goes down to under ten dollars and doesn't shoot up again for another thirty years, are you going to want to sell at a loss for college or a car? Many members have said this before, but you should make sure you are maxing out the matching of your retirement fund first (in the US we have 401k plans and the like, I am not sure what the equivalent is in Canada), before you are buying silver. If the individual on the youtube channel that you were watching happened to be in at the right time, and then sold at the right time, chances are that they did make a lot of money. Plenty of other people have lost money on silver. I would browse back and look at some of the threads. On of the threads is called "What did you add to your stash today?" Start at the beginning and then see how many of the early posters are sill members of the forum. You say your main focus is getting in while it is cheap. Don't rush things as they are likely to get cheaper and will probably stay cheaper for quite some time. It is better to get to know the market. I would recommend building up more slowly over time, using only money the is discretionary. Also, you do not want to have all your assets in silver. Several people have stated before on the forum you don't want more than 10% of your assets in precious metals.
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New Member
 Canada
6 Posts |
Well AllRanger, I think you've dissuaded me from buying 10oz bar or any thing for investing purposes for now. I will definitely hold off and become familiar with the market first. I honestly don't know and can't make any educated guesses on where the market will go however it is best to play it safe for now and use money sparingly. I have looked at the prices of silver within the past century and I see that you are indeed correct. For the most part besides the two spikes, the market is indeed relatively flat.
I'll be sure to look once more at that thread "what did you add to your stash today?" and this time focus on the users. Although I have noticed there is a trend of people displaying maple leafs, pandas and kookaburras.
As for what you said earlier about having a rainy day, well you correct that they should be budgeted but I was thinking that in case I was on tight budget that I couldn't make. However given that a decade for silver to mature is still short term since the market is relatively the same, clearly that investment wouldn't do much at all.
I thank you for your very descriptive explanation and I'll be sure to be more wary. Looking back, my anxiousness to buy silver was really overblown.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
711 Posts |
Don't disagree with anything here really. Silver is cheap relative to gold with the ratio being 74 - 75 ounces of silver being equal to one ounce of gold. Historically that is very favorable for silver relative to gold. Does that mean it is favorable relative to cash or stocks? No comment, you figure that one out for yourself. While precious metals should be built into a portfolio at some point, generally they shouldn't be someone's first investment. Not saying that this is yours, just saying for discussion sake. If someone is the type of person that has difficulty saving at all, where that $300 is spent on smokes, women, fast food, and other discretionary stuff, then buying $300 of silver makes a ton of sense to me. It isn't as easy to sell or spend as cash so it is like forced savings. Best part, you get the satisfaction of going out and spending your savings too. For people with no savings / no savings willpower, I think a healthy coin addiction is a great habit. As for what to buy, check out your local scene and check out ebay and some of the big online dealers like JM Bullion, APMEX, Provident Metals, etc. Note that the forum software will automatically link some of these as I didn't link them either. I have found what works best for me is to be open minded in what I collect and establish a good relationship with the better of 2 LCS in my town. Being open minded allows me to purchase low premium coins that I love. Lots of variety too. Maybe someday I will specialize, but at this point I am just getting back into coin collecting after a 30 year break. The good relationship is great for both price and learning. Leave a little money on the table, don't hammer down your dealer with ebay comps like some two bit realtor. Don't get taken advantage of either, know the market price and you will be respected more and you may end up getting some great knowledge out of the guy. Always make clear that you want them to quote you the price out the door, with all taxes included. Nothing worse than agreeing to a price and then picking out your coins and then having him slap on 6.75% sales tax and having to put back some coins for lack of funds. You pay cash, he quotes you out the door pricing. That is how it works. Taxes are his problem when you are buying. I would know your numbers too. Buying one ounce coins makes it simple, but sometimes there is great stuff to be had in old US coins, in particular old US gold coins, but the silver too. I update and print this out when I go to the LCS, it helps me evaluate premiums on the fly and gives me somewhere to take any notes on pricing if needed. Hopefully this link works. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...?usp=sharingThat link is current for right now. It shows you the math on 90% silver, 40% silver, and old US gold coins which were 90% gold and 10% silver and have oddball weights. Knowing what you are paying per ounce for these makes it easy to compare to bullion prices and make an informed decision with your limited coin budget. If you just want the metal, the 40% is often less than melt out the door at my LCS. The 90% gold coins from the late 1800's and early 1900's often have a lower premium on them than generic bullion or gold eagles, full or fractional. 90% gold is cheap right now, but with the GSR at 75, silver is cheaper. Good luck and welcome to the forum.
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Valued Member
United States
174 Posts |
Minty:
The way I started was this:
I wanted something to have and to hold. I had a little extra cash and was going to buy a consumer item, and said, "What pleasure will this bring me, and for how long?" The pleasure was medium and duration was short. When I had that answer, I asked myself "would I rather have some silver, and how will that make me feel?" I've been picking up a little here and there since then, and the pile has grown. Had I bought the other stuff, it'd all be gone and i'd have nothing.
I like silver and gold because it satisfies the short term to buy something and delayed gratification of a nice little stack.
You mentioned $300 to spend. Why not find something you are about to spend $25 on, and refrain from doing so. (a dinner out or movie).
Then, pick up a single American Silver Eagle or Canadian ounce instead, even at a premium? When it arrives, remember (if you can) what you gave up to get it. I think that will bring great understanding to this tactic.
and NEVER spend money you will EVER need. Investing IMHO is in yourself first (education), Hard work, delayed gratification, and live well below your means. Next, save up to live for a year without income in CASH. Have no debt. Once you are there, you can start to play a little more.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
7617 Posts |
Buy an "x" amount periodically 'till you reach your investment goal. Keep good records. Do not be afraid to buy or sell. Do not fret when you buy on Monday and the price drops on Tuesday. Don't worry when you sell and the price rises the next day. Stick to your goals and you'll do fine. Never put all your eggs in one basket.
The rule that was passed down to me is "keep 1/3 of your money in readily available cash like cd's and savings accounts, 1/3 of your money in real estate and 1/3 of your money in gold and silver. Do that and you'll never go broke". It's worked for me for 45 years!
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1158 Posts |
The HUGE run up of silver and gold prices in recent history has people thinking that they are an investment like stocks. Really, precious metals are a hedge against inflation or deflation and should be viewed as a volatility smoother over a long term investing horizon.
At least that's my opinion. Personally I like to stack silver that also looks cool and may have numismatic value. Then, I get collectible value, potential silver melt value, and worst case I'm stuck with coins that I enjoy owning just because they are neat.
Stacking silver bars, etc, should probably only be done as part of a portfolio diversification when you have some significant investment assets. If you are young and just starting to invest, start automatically investing a fixed amount into an index fund monthly and just keep doing it for the next 30-40 years without thinking about it or even worrying about the returns. It's almost a guarantee you'll have 6-7 figures that way depending on how much you save.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
576 Posts |
Welcome Mintyfresh: Be careful out there and take your time. Prices are low and if they do go back up it will not be over night. I like you took an interest in buying silver and like you I had very little knowledge going in. I started buying small amounts when silver was in the high 30's. The talking heads on line said it was going up. I looked for advice on line.... I found it and it was crazy bad. You did great coming here, there is some great wisdom here that I wish I had found earlier...it would have saved me some money. My opinion but I would wait until prices are even lower or not at all. PMs are risky. Some great advice above. If you have investment money maybe look at dividend paying stocks. Again welcome. I still buy the odd piece of silver, my over all cost per ounce is around $26.00 CAN. I would break even if I sold everything at $26.00 an ounce. I've gotten some great deals from people getting out but I'm still on the wrong side of making any money. I do not hold a lot so I can potentially hold the silver for 30 years. That still does not guarantee me of a profit. I'd rather have bought stocks in Apple 10 years ago. Who will you sell your silver to if you plan to exit PMs? The buyer needs to make money also. Again welcome. Liverpool
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Pillar of the Community
United States
711 Posts |
Any investment is good investment (other than malinvestment caused by the Keynesians with an exclusive license to counterfeit the US Dollar in the form of a Federal Reserve Note. . . .).
Don't think individual stocks or index funds are out of your reach at a $300 investment. You can start a small account on sharebuilder/ING/voya and buy even just a fraction of a share if you wanted to own Google for instance with a share price well over $300. You will pay basically $7 to buy and $7 to sell so that is $14 lost on the $300 no matter what. Other places probably do this too, but that is the only one I have ever used or known anyone else to use.
Good luck and final advice is any savings is better than frivolous spending. Coins can get you there if you seem to spend whatever you have, but there are other options too. Some other options may be better performers or not, that is up for you to decide.
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Valued Member
United States
453 Posts |
See? I told you some smarter people than me would chime in.
I forgot to mention that I have less than 10% in pms. About a year ago I cleared all my debt except my mortgage and started investing. Most of my money goes into an index fund which is doing great, a little goes into pms, mostly silver because my budget is small, that hasn't done as well but I like the physical aspect of having a little stash and some pretty coins! Plus both investments are medium to long term in my plans so I dont lose any sleep.
Great conversation by the way! I am learning a lot.
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New Member
 Canada
6 Posts |
Haha, you're riht Srcliff although your comment was just as helpful.
I'm surprised for many reasons from the numerous posts.
For one thing, I'm amazed at how helpful this community is. I've posted in multiple forums of different backgrounds and no community was as willing to reach out a helping as this one, it's incredible!
Secondly I'm also astounded as at how investing in precious metals appears to those that have commented. Before going into this forum to ask questions, I would've guessed that it would've been regarded as the #1 cash cow and investment where as instead my mentality was flipped upside down. Many of you if not all of you put emphasis on diversifying the portfolio and investing slowly and sparingly into silver.
I'm privileged enough to grow up not having to spend on anything (I'm very cheap :P) nor being frivolous with my money however it would've been a shame had I went head first into this without consulting any of you on the matter. An occurrence like this is very so I had to ask first, research then look into the market. Although there is no need now.
I will still take on your word and try to have a small portion invested into precious metals however at this point I think it's best if I just lurk more seriously and do some research instead.
I have read all your comments and some I've read thrice. I can't thank you all enough for generosity in taking the time to write about how you all got into it and what I should look out for and why. It means a lot and it shows what a great place this forum really is.
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Replies: 24 / Views: 4,320 |
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