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NGC S-158 Variety Plus Page Includes A Fake

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Bedrock of the Community
Earle42's Avatar
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 12/25/2015  3:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Our hobby is under attack. The TPGS is our military and they need our help.

Interesting statement that has me thinking.

From the start, the impression TPGS gave me was they were simply a money making scheme where a bunch of people announced to the world that they were most qualified to grade coins. As we said back then, "why would I pay someone to do this? Why do I need someone to tell me what grade my coin is?"

We joked that one day someone would come up with another scheme to verify the TPG graded coins were, in fact, the grade the TPG said they were. Now we have stickers affixed to slabs that do just this - and people pay for the service.

Later we joked that , "watch... one day they will start putting in different colored labels and people will shell out more money based on the color." Well... this was a close call when considering the special label issues, first release labels, etc.

People not around before TPGS cannot appreciate what has been lost. The TPGs moved the hobby mindset to focus mostly on the keys of a set. It USED to be all dates and MMs had their own values based on mintages and availability. Now, for example, all Mercury dimes except the keys are normally looked at as just junk silver. Much of the fun is gone. Junk silver and a few keys now make a set.

I don't see TPGs as our "defense." I see education and study before shelling out the $ as my defense.

Admittedly some off the study mayh include the TPG accumulated pool of knowledge. But having lived through the development of these services, I am influenced to see their info as having been a very bittersweet accumulation over the years.

How many times do we gear not to buy the slab, buy the coin? There is a reason. Having talked with people employed as graders in the past, I was less than impressed with the level of accuracy they have said really happens on the TPG grading workfloor. Having received a MS70 quarter from PCGS - with a gash on the front - as a promotional gift to join them, it made me once again think "scheme."

I am not being negative to someone who likes all the different types of labels - this is a hobby so enjoy it the way you like it. I am saying I personally don't see the TPGS as our military needing our support.

Another prediction I give for TPGs:
The technology has been there to have impartial computer scanning/grading since the 90s, and one of the TPGs (PCGS I think) spent a huge amount of money investigating, but never implemented computer grading. Why?

My opinion (note that word) from their past record is they did not abandon the idea, but only shelved it for awhile. Some businessmen want to milk the public for everything they can get. I predict one day there will be adverts such as:
"The new Compu-Grading system is totally impartial and 100% accurate since it eliminates the human-opinion-factor. You can never be perfectly sure your slabbed coins were graded impartially until they bear the new "Compu-Graded" labels. At only 30.00 a slab, you can now sleep peacefully knowing you have the REAL grade."

And just think! In 30 more years we can claim we need to re-slab everything yet again because we have upgraded the Compu-Grade system algorithms for more acuracy. More re-slabbing... and at only 30.00 each!
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Pillar of the Community
ExoGuy's Avatar
United States
4416 Posts
 Posted 12/25/2015  6:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ExoGuy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Earle ... A fine synopsis ... Amen.

I suspect that those more likely stung by these latest counterfeits will be investors, the commodity guys, as opposed to the true collectors, those who seriously study their coins.
Pillar of the Community
TypeCoin971793's Avatar
United States
6370 Posts
 Posted 12/25/2015  11:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TypeCoin971793 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The TPGs moved the hobby mindset to focus mostly on the keys of a set. It USED to be all dates and MMs had their own values based on mintages and availability. Now, for example, all Mercury dimes except the keys are normally looked at as just junk silver. Much of the fun is gone. Junk silver and a few keys now make a set.


Amen to this! I have resolved to never buy a key date coin as I think they are a waste of good money. The only time I would buy one would be to flip it or maybe invest in it as they appreciate more than true "collector" coins. Truly rare coins, such as a 1793 Chain Cent, are a different story. I wouldn't mind paying a premium for these, but they have gotten really overpriced over the past couple decades in comparison to even rarer and more historically-significant coins.
Bedrock of the Community
Conder101's Avatar
United States
17884 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  08:37 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Conder101 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The TPGs? They posted about the fakes?

Yes they did......about a week after the specialists told them about them. And in press releases that made it sound like the TPG had discovered them.
Pillar of the Community
United States
937 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  10:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tryna to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I am not fond of TPGS but at this point I see no good in bashing them. I have recently read online that all three of the biggest grading companies have recently slabbed forgeries as legit coins.

This is scary, but it is not the first time this has happened. Perhaps this may be a needed lesson for all.

I do not know or care who dicovered the problem first. What matters is how the TPG deal with this and the results.
Valued Member
146 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  12:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dipper to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Steele: "If they don't have the time to verify whether a coin is fake or genuine they should not be in the business of verifying coins."

It is not about TIME and should not be about time. Did you know that long ago (I'm showing my age) some dealers were making jokes that the "early" authentication services were taking weeks and months to declare a coin was genuine or not. On some occasions when their consultants were divided Good/Not good the coin was returned with No OPINION. That happens today too.


Now, what part of State-of-the-Art counterfeit don't you understand? THEY FOOL EVERYONE until they are finely detected. Think about this...If the fakers only made five of this particular cent, it would take some time before an expert on large cents got a hold of one. Then he should have a dilemma. Humm, never saw a "Y" like this on this S#. Coin looks 100% genuine, Sp Gr OK, weight OK. Did the die wear oddly and stretch the letter? Did they touch up the die? Let's show this puppy around at the next EAC meeting. Humm, some experts say genuine, some don't know for sure, some say bad. Get the idea how authentication works with SOTA C/F's? Guess what: After lots of time passes and #2 of five shows up that was bought by another LC expert (perhaps a thousand miles away - thank God for the Internet)and they are able to match contact marks - all the LC experts and TPGS that said it was genuine WOULD BE WRONG! Everyone here should be thankful for the TPG's and the tireless job they do.

52Raymo: Oh I think Bobby can hold his own around here.....and then some.

So far, I've seen nothing to speak of. I can't wait until he shows it and throws useful info instead of rocks.
Pillar of the Community
edweather's Avatar
United States
7375 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  1:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add edweather to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
So far, I've seen nothing to speak of. I can't wait until he shows it and throws useful info instead of rocks.


Just a suggestion, maybe wait a little longer than 16 posts before you draw any conclusions.

And BTW, I consider myself an amateur, and a student in the coin field. If it can easily be shown to me what this fake is by 3 obvious obverse marks...we didn't even talk about the hit under the eye....I would think, and expect, that NGC should be able to recognize it also. Not bashing them at all, and people do make mistakes, but they should be extra careful, as a leader in the industry, especially when they are showcasing an example in their VarietyPlus.
Edited by edweather
12/26/2015 1:20 pm
Bedrock of the Community
Earle42's Avatar
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  2:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@dipper

Quote:
It is not about TIME and should not be about time.]

Time is not as important as the TPGs make us think it is in their grading process.

Upon re-entering this hobby a few years ago I contacted an old friend who had made his living as a respected and known dealer (owned Certified Coins, Erie, PA then moved on) for "tips" on what had changed in my absence.

He told me he spent time at a TPG as a grader. He also told me that since the graders were paid by piecework, there was always a rush by the graders to get through as many coins as they could. He did not like this and does it no more.

He explained the rush is why people could crack out a good coin and keep sending it in until they got a grade they liked. He cited just one of many examples as being a Seated quarter which was sent in 7 times until it came back as the next tier /value up and therefore worth thousands more.

My LCS dealer told me he sends in monster boxes of ASE's each year. After doing some questioning of other dealers at the coin shows he attends, he found that 20% of the ASE's in a monster box is the consistent number that comes back as MS70s. He is totally convinced they just open the box and pull out a certain number to make MS70s. But since people generally look at the slab and trust the grade, the masses don't notice.

As in my previous posting, I got an MS70 from PCGS as a promotional and the quarter had a noticeable gash in the rim. This slabbed quarter screamed "marketing ploy." And although just one incident, it totally supports the above information.



Quote:
- thank God for the Internet)and they are able to match contact marks -

Which is yet another tool that the "experts" should be able to utilize on a daily basis to make sure they don't make such obvious errors. It is not a case of the counterfeits being good enough to fool the experts if the error is obvious to "non-experts at a TPG" looking over posted pictures.

A simple graphics overlay (for those who deal with graphics it is simple) of the known types would solve the problem (for now until the counterfeiters start this also). And, this technology could actually be implemented by computers. Again - the tech was around back in the 90s. A machine I used to use 20 years ago at Erie Plastics in the QR department scanned machined pieces (down to the micron) pointing out where quality control specs were not being met.

Think of it - even our computers AT HOME can have face recognition tech nowadays. Surely companies as large as the TPGs could have at least the 1990s tech to scan each coin quickly as it came in. The speed of modern tech now as compared to the 90s would make this almost instantaneous. The comnputer doulc recognize, at the micron level - a fake.

But again, TPGs are not yet willing to release the computer-grade tech they could have had (and DID pay big bucks to develop) in the 90s. They were milking the public for every cent they could until the time they will market the compu-grading and make more even money by having people think they need to have everything re-slabbed.

And if the TPGs HAD put computer grading into play back in the 90s, the initial wave of counterfeits likely would have failed miserably anyway. The large fake-maker manufacturing companies might not have received the revenue to make more.

Talk to people who have been involved with TPG mechanics (not disgruntled people) and it becomes obvious there is a lot of misplaced faith in them. But without putting forth as good a front as they can, they obviously would not be in business.

Again this post is not meant as a negative towards people liking slabs. If a person likes them - collect them and enjoy them. They can look great lined up. But people involved know it is far from the de facto science they want people to believe it is - and that false mindset is what keeps them going and growing.
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Pillar of the Community
EFLargeCents's Avatar
United States
1304 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  3:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add EFLargeCents to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Everyone here should be thankful for the TPG's and the tireless job they do.


They didnt do anything, EAC found the fake, EAC told the TPGs about it. The experts in this case are EAC members not TPGs. All the TPGs did was slab fakes. An outside group quality controlled them. So if they cant figure out SOTA fakes, why do they exist? Cant they employee someone to notice this kind of thing?

I like slabs, but the TPGs could do a bit more to study and avoid cointerfeits such as these. After all their guarantee is what people ultimately are paying for. You'd think that would be front and center their biggest concern with an expert employed to look after just this sort of thing and perhaps communicate with experts in the field to work together in finding these.
Edited by EFLargeCents
12/26/2015 3:45 pm
Bedrock of the Community
Earle42's Avatar
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  4:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
You'd think that would be front and center their biggest concern with an expert employed to look after just this sort of thing and perhaps communicate with experts in the field to work together in finding these.


Three "expert" graders look at each coin individually and give their grade opinion. When the "experts" disagree, they review it and come up with a consensus before final slabbing.

Granted it seems like a good system. But again, the graders are rushed to get the coins through so they get more pay. So as humans do we think the pressure to move pieces might speed up the consensus process also? Then we need to remember the experts are fully aware the average Joe needs to be reminded to buy the coin and not the slab. They know people won't necessarily notice the mistakes they make.




How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Valued Member
146 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  6:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dipper to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
And BTW, I consider myself an amateur, and a student in the coin field. If it can easily be shown to me what this fake is by 3 obvious obverse marks...we didn't even talk about the hit under the eye....I would think, and expect, that NGC should be able to recognize it also.

You forgot one thing...All the experts need to have at least 2 of the fakes to match imperfections. My two year old can do it with two coins. BTY, ICG missed this fake also...perhaps because their example was CORRODED!
Valued Member
146 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  6:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dipper to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
He told me he spent time at a TPG as a grader. He also told me that since the graders were paid by piecework, there was always a rush by the graders to get through as many coins as they could.

He is possibly an old-timer who worked for PCGS WHEN THEY WERE DOING THAT. I know of no TPGS that pays by the piece Soooo, maybe someone can check your FACTS!
Valued Member
146 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  7:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dipper to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Better check on this from some friends of your friend. I have heard that it's 10% so the quota must have gone up in the last two years. The dealers used to squeal if they didn't get enough at 10%. Either their whining was heard or the Mints have gotten better. I have opened Monster boxes sealed at the mint that were trash. Anything not mint sealed is probably picked and trash. The first boxes that come up are the usually the best shot for 70's. Finally, for a SE to even be an MS-70 is a miracle; yet plenty of miracles happen!!
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edweather's Avatar
United States
7375 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  7:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add edweather to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
You forgot one thing...All the experts need to have at least 2 of the fakes to match imperfections. My two year old can do it with two coins. BTY, ICG missed this fake also...perhaps because their example was CORRODED!


Well alrightee then, guess they better improve their vetting process before they showcase any more fake coins.
Valued Member
146 Posts
 Posted 12/26/2015  7:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dipper to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Did it say "sample" or anything to that effect on the label? If not, they obviously didn't care OR the gash was on the planchet and not PMD OR they made an error that reflects badly on them.
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