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Replies: 28 / Views: 3,304 |
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Valued Member
United States
72 Posts |
10,000 baby boomers retiring every day. They have a lot of discretionary income to buy coins.
The young gun dealers are very visible and active on Instagram.
COVID brought comfort to buy coins online and so I think many LCSs lost customers accordingly.
I think the hobby is healthy and don't see the doom you see.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
697 Posts |
@fortcollins, I agree with several of your points, and respectfully disagree with some others. Since none of us know future results, only time will tell. With that said, I don't believe the overall rate of increase we've seen in coin values over the past six months will continue at that rate. I believe continuing high inflation over at least the next two years will have a damper on our economy and the coin market. That, not Covid, is the biggest factor in my opinion.
I wish you and your wife well.
Steve
A day without fine wine and working on your coin collection is like a day without sunshine! My collecting "Pride & Joy" is my PCGS Registry Dansco 7070 Set: https://www.PCGS.com/setregistry/ty...edset/213996
Edited by Winesteven 04/19/2022 03:13 am
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New Member
 Canada
13 Posts |
When I started this thread I wasn't sure how many responses I would get. Its been healthy thus far. That being said, I dont see doom and gloom, not sure where that comment came from. But its great to see what others think on this topic.
Personally like other things. I do believe this price burst we are seeing is temporary and on average prices will go down at some point. Demand eventually wanes and money flows into other things. Thats the way markets work. Ive seen it with other collectibles and properties etc. Wether we like it or not allot of spending habits are linked to the overall economy and policy. Thats just the way things are.
You have to zig when they zag. Just my 2 cents.
Cheers
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4233 Posts |
Quote: are the older collectors our age also pondering retirement? If so, what will their collections (and lack of future collecting) do to the market? I see at least three types of retired collector: 1. Sell the collection to pay for retirement / do other things 2. Sell the collection so your heirs aren't hassled with it (could be in conjunction with #1) 3. Buy more coins now that you have time/renewed interest and can afford it I fall into #3. If that was the only impact on the market (it's not), the impact depends on how many are in the sell or buy categories. I guess that's obvious.
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Valued Member
United States
72 Posts |
Quote: "That being said, I dont see doom and gloom, not sure where that comment came from." *** Edited by Staff to add Quote tags. Please use them in the future. ***My reference to "doom" was my perception of the preceding poster's comments (seen at the end of the first page) and was not directed toward you.
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New Member
 Canada
13 Posts |
Quote: My reference to "doom" was my perception of the preceding poster's comments (seen at the end of the first page) and was not directed toward you. No worries. I thought you where referring to my original post. My apologies. So much is lost through text sometimes. Cheers
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1778 Posts |
I am with Steve in that I believe @fortcollins made some compelling points. Regarding LCS, my shop in town closed as the owner retired. There are still local shows within driving distance that I can go to 3 of 4 weeks in a month. Many of these dealers do not have brick and mortar shops and quite frankly are overpriced. It has not stopped my buying, just how I do it. I seek out auctions (in person and online) and have developed relationships with a few of the dealers I look to for good value (some of which are online). That said I think it depends on what part of the market you are talking about - as others have asked what constitutes classic US coins? I certainly see the modern and ASE MS-70 craze as a bubble ready to burst. Classic capped bust halves (which I follow closely), Morgans and gold will not continue at the same rate but I still feel will continue to trend up. Try to win a coin at a Heritage auction and you will see bids above PCGS values and that does not include the additional 20% to the auction house. Is all that money from COVID? Maybe some due to government payments and lack of goods to buy.
Edited by psuman08 04/28/2022 10:48 am
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
Makes no difference to me what the future of coin vales are. I'm just to old to care.
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Valued Member
United States
152 Posts |
First let me say this is a great thread with so many philosophical statements and opinions on the topic of coin prices,inflation and coin collecting. I myself have just recently collected a key date 1885-CC Morgan that I had concerns that by the same time next year this coin would be out of my reach.Even circulated lower dates are not cheap.So I finally found one without a lot of face chatter and clean fields.There is a little tarnish here and there but I've been hunting for months and haven't found a better one for the price I paid. I think this is the best Morgan dollar I own and my favorite. P.S.I wonder how many people have owned this for the last 137 years and where it's been?Would be cool to know. 
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
697 Posts |
@FlyingTiger - I like the way you think!
GREAT pickup! Enjoy!
Steve
A day without fine wine and working on your coin collection is like a day without sunshine! My collecting "Pride & Joy" is my PCGS Registry Dansco 7070 Set: https://www.PCGS.com/setregistry/ty...edset/213996
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3343 Posts |
The 1885-CC is really nice. I suspect that it spent most of the last 137 years in a sack at GSA.
The recent stock market drops and ongoing inflation, combined with the Fed tightening, will probably dry up the supply of excess money for collectables like coins. However, I don't think that it will result in a flood of interesting coins into the market. Auction prices for high end coins will probably flatten, but if there is price discounting it will be for common coins in common condition.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
5192 Posts |
I voted for "They are priced just right and things wont change much". At least that is what I think will happen in the near future. And coins are always "priced right", otherwise there would be an arbitrage opportunity which typically doesn't last long in a reasonable liquid market. Regarding LCS and coins shows....perhaps it depends where you live, but in my neck of the woods LCS are open and coins shows are a go. In fact, I will be going to a local coin show in two weeks, and plan to be at the June Whitman show in Baltimore.
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Valued Member
United States
152 Posts |
thq I bet your right because if it was in a drawer or a jewelry box for decades it would be dark on one side.And If was in an album it would probably have a darkened ring around the edges.So it must have been in a GSA bag most of its existence.Maybe it got free a few decades of so back.The reverse is clean to but recently the uploading of pictures has changed on the forum and I had a lot of trouble loading this picture.
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Replies: 28 / Views: 3,304 |