Do You Think That 2020 Coins Will Become A Key Date?

No, they will not be key dates. This virus does show us the sheep mentality and irrational fears and the like are alive and well, unfortunately.

Invest in toilet paper. Some people are getting $100 a roll.

I think the orders are already in and production started for 2020 coins. The economy cratered in October of 2008 in the last big financial crisis, so they had more lead time to scale back production.

I see where you're headed with the question as it relates to the pandemic. As several have mentioned, yes there is a mad spending rate induced by panic and fear. Within the last week alone many states, my own Pennsylvania, have enacted states of emergency whereby non-essential business are to close at two week intervals until this subsides. To my knowledge, the Treasury Department's suppliers of metals and bullion do not fall under that classification. Meaning, that barring employees at the refineries voluntarily quarantining themselves , manufacturing facilities will continue supply as needed. With that in mind, and with an abundant on hand supply ready to go, mintage numbers should remain steady unless by chance these business' close for an extended length of time. Which would need to be months, not weeks.

Its very likely that the mintages will be less than ordinary if there a sustained recession, just like what happend in 2009. However even the 2009 dated coins have millions made and thus are in no way key dates. For example for Jefferson nickels, there were less than 40 million 2009 P minted as compared to over 570 million 2007 P dated nickels. Despite that, the 2009 P nickels are not valuable coins because they are still common collectible wise. The key dates for the business strikes of the Jefferson series (the "big four") are the 1950 D, 1939 S, 1938 D, and 1939 S all have mintages under 6 million.

Look. My opinion, and it's opinion only, is that this is much worse than 2009-2012 domestically and globally. This is more like 1918-1945 depending on how we as a country handle it and our economy as well as the global economy recovers.

I think as a coin collector you should continue your hobby and do whatever it is you'd like to do, and if it pan's out 10 or 30 years from now great for you. If it don't there isn't much lost money is money.

This is a difficut situation. It's not panic and should be taken very seriously. A lot of people are very likely going to die globally and it's very likely going to reoccur year after year like a flu does. We can argue if that's the case, of course I don't know the future, but it's likely. Uncertainty always results in a tightening. For this reason there will be a recession, maybe a depression, and this absolutely will affect mintage numbers, especially with the government dumping money to float the economy, that will be dollars, not coins. Coins are for great economies where change is frequent, not when they have to make money to keep it moving, so mintages should reduce.

Key dates? I'm not sure. Low mintages, yeah that looks very possible and a key date may appear, but a semi key is more likely.

I am concerned about this situation, but I can't ignore the possibilites with our hobby and it helps to take my mind off what I can't control or change. I say do your hobby as you like as I will too and we will see how it all works out once we are over this hump.

That said I do want to tell yall to stay safe, remain reasonable, and bless you all.

Possibly but there will be effective vaccinations in a year or two.

The common seasonal flu is still an order of magnitude deadlier than this virus... for now.

There may be many reasons why a particular type may be scarce or rare.
I don't know, and most people won't have a good idea about scarcity until about 3 years later.

In the meantime, just collect about five nice examples of every type and denomination that comes your way from pocket change. After about five, you would have already formed some preliminary opinion about scarcity yourself.

After five, just spend whatever comes your way.
Keep them for three years, and by then you will have a much better idea about scarcity.
Keep what you think are scarce, and spend the rest.

Versus the P, D and possibly S quarters I'd agree. However, since the mintage is the same, I can't see that the 2020-W would be any more of a key than the 2019-W quarters.