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Frequency Of Wide AM Cents

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patrick's Avatar
United States
560 Posts
 Posted 01/03/2008  7:23 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add patrick to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I've been doing some roll searching and have been setting aside the 98, 99, and 00 cents to scan later for Wide AM. Does anyone have an idea about how likely it might be to find some of these varieties? 1 in 10000, 1 in 100000?

Going on price alone, it seems like it's much more likely that I would find a 2000 than a 1998. And the 1999 variety would be far less likely. Is this correct?

Thanks!
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mahgobbi's Avatar
United States
549 Posts
 Posted 01/03/2008  7:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mahgobbi to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Sorry, I don't have an answer for you because I'm very new to this myself, but my 10-year old son thought he found a 1992 Close AM just about an hour ago. I fully expected when he showed it to me that it would be wide, but I checked it out and it was definitely a Close AM. My heart kind of skipped a beat, then I looked at the date and it was a 1993.

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MorgansRmine's Avatar
United States
1219 Posts
 Posted 01/03/2008  7:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MorgansRmine to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Patrick, being from the west coast puts you at a big disadvantage. I found 1 1998 in 5000 coins. Found another 1998 & 2000 in a jar I was throwing my loose change in. 1999s are rare. Being from the east coast and only a couple hundred miles from Philly mint give us a big advantage. They are out there though, keep looking.
Valued Member
United States
140 Posts
 Posted 01/03/2008  8:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MountainXBGL to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I found 2 1998's in one box from the bank, but haven't found another since. Yet to find a 2000, 1999 or 1992.
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foundinrolls's Avatar
United States
3507 Posts
 Posted 01/04/2008  12:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I cant give you numbers but 1998 and 2000 dated coins show up more frequently. 1999 dated Wide AM cents are very difficult to find and are seemingly extremely rare in comparison to the others.
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j_h_s's Avatar
United States
1934 Posts
 Posted 01/04/2008  07:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add j_h_s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Patrick...dont give up. The wide AMs are not readily visible (they dont stick out like aged sore thumbs) in piles/lots/pocketfuls of change -- nor are they as well-known common errors or coins as many (collectors and non-collectors alike) know about as key dates (e.g. 1955, 1909) -- therefore, far fewer people are looking for them. I believe you'll find one one day as long as you keep looking. I'm going to.

Jim
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Kabiye_Lady's Avatar
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581 Posts
 Posted 01/05/2008  02:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Kabiye_Lady to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Ditto the remark about geographic location. I roll search and keep high quality examples and I have very, very few P-mintmarks.

Also keep in mind that if you find one that is well-circulated, it'll be cool because it's an error, but its value will be minimal compared to an MS example.

My understanding that the 2000 is the most plentiful and that's by far the most probable one to find.
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foundinrolls's Avatar
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 Posted 01/05/2008  9:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It's a die variety and not an error.
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 Posted 01/05/2008  9:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MountainXBGL to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
or is it a variety?
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j_h_s's Avatar
United States
1934 Posts
 Posted 01/07/2008  03:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add j_h_s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
right, foundinrolls...die variety; my mistake; not payna tension so early in the a.m.

Jim
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United States
90 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2008  9:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tomb to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Keep looking, they're out there. Just found this yesterday.

Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents

Got the 98 now the 99 all that's left is the 2000.
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patrick's Avatar
United States
560 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2008  11:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add patrick to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Awesome find Tomb! Congratulations! I'm not having much luck finding non-Denver coins where I am. I need to talk my father-in-law into sending me some $25 boxes from Delaware....
Edited by patrick
01/09/2008 11:02 pm
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coppercoins's Avatar
United States
7629 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2008  9:29 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppercoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Odd that Tomb found the two scarce ones and can't find the common one.

There aren't any real numbers to describe how many out of how many are Wide AM, because there aren't any official numbers kept by the mint on them. Given the following possible scanarios, this might help...

There are at least two, possibly three different dies known to have made the 1998 Wide AM cents. There is but one die known for all the 1999 Wide AM cents discovered to date. In 2000, there are at least a half dozen, with more possible.

If a die makes it all the way through it's expected life, it mints around 500,000 coins.

Assume the dies all made it through their expected life, and assume the numbers of dies reported above as the total existing...big assumption, but this has to be done to even come close.

There were a million and a half of the 1998 coins made, 500,000 of the 1999 coins, and at least 3 million of the 2000 coins.

Compare this to overall mintage and your chances are the following:

1998 - 1,500,000 in 5,032,155,000, or about 1 in 5,000.
1999 - 500,000 in 5,237,600,000, or about 1 in 10,000.
2000 - 3,000,000 in 5,503,200,000, or about 1 in 1,800.

Of course these numbers are only a very erroneously basic idea of what's probably actually out there. Take away half of the number made for any given die because of shorter die life, and your odds double that you won't find one...very possible.

Reason? Die life can be rounded down closely by examining a broad group of the coins minted by a die. If a decent sampling are observed for die wear, the latest die state found can be assumed to be the latest die state made, thus helping draw closer to the actual number of coins minted by that die.

One example - 1960D-1MM-004 (RPM#4). It is scarce, and is only known in very early die state and early die state. No examples of later die states are known and probably do not exist. Given this, we can assume that this die minted only around 2,000-5,000 coins. Take that to the same math above, and we end up with a number like 5,000 in 700,000,000 (about half the 1960D mintage, accounting for large and small date). This deduces to 1 in 140,000. Pretty scarce.
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 Posted 01/11/2008  11:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tomb to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks for the info CC, always appreciated.
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 Posted 01/16/2008  10:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rohumpy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Coppercoin, I am constantly impressed with the depth of your knowledge. Let me ask you a question. I am thinking of buying a 1972 DDO Lincoln Cent. I know that there are several DDO's. What is the designation of THE DDO? I mean the really cool one with the obvious doubling and of course the priciest. I am assuming that I should get a slabbed example. Also, any general advice as to who I should get one from, if it is proper to ask this question?
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United States
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 Posted 01/16/2008  10:58 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have gone thru 25,000 in the immediate past and have found two 2000 and one 1998.
Jim
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