| Author |
Replies: 91 / Views: 8,697 |
|
|
|
New Member
38 Posts |
Quote: Dollars go troll somewhere else. Your posting a chart over and over and ignoring everything else. Seen this before a lot on another forum I'd say our arguments here speak for themselves. If I've 'ignored' any point you've made, feel free to let me know and I'll rebut it/ Crying 'troll' when you lose a debate... well.... that speaks for itself, too. Stop believing irrational garbage, you won't get called out on it and won't have to feel embarrassed as a result.
|
|
Bedrock of the Community
 13014 Posts |
Quote: "common date classic commemoratives' make up such a small segment that they could all drop to 0 and it wouldn't have profound bearing on the broader trend, relative to everything else that makes up the formula. False. You figured out everything though in the week or so you started collecting. We all look forward to your future success having everything figured out with minimal effort
|
|
New Member
38 Posts |
Quote: False. What some people say when told the earth is round. You're acting as if I didn't literally post the index composition where anyone can go see with their own eyes.Quote: You figured out everything though in the week or so you started collecting. Are you lying deliberately, or just demonstrating that you have incredibly poor reading comprehension?
Edited by dollars 04/06/2019 10:56 pm
|
|
Pillar of the Community
Australia
3831 Posts |
I don't actively look at US coin prices but over in the Asian and Russian market, while prices have gone up and down, they have mostly gone up in norther trend. If prices ever tank, let me know. There are a few key coins that I have been chasing for more than a decade - some I regretted not getting when I had the opportunity.
P.S.
"And I said I need dollar dollar, a dollar is what I need And if I share with you my story would you share your dollar with me"
My partial coin collection http://www.omnicoin.com/collection/gxseriesMy numismatics articles and collection: http://www.gxseries.com/numis/numis_index.htmRegularly updated at least once a month.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
5831 Posts |
Interesting read here.
I was in China this past November, and every business has a QR code in front of their store or shop, people uses their phone to make purchases by scanning the QR code, and transactions is deducted from buyer financial institution, rarely money are used even for low cash items. So, in the future all activities will have a track record, not just the buyer, but other officials who wants to keep a tab for security reasons.
Coin collecting is still popular in China, but only if current collectors take time to introduce and educate it to future generations of collectors, and unless precious metal can rise to higher level, then people will be more aware of coin value and about collecting it.
Sorry getting myself off track.
Edited by macmercury 04/06/2019 11:34 pm
|
|
Moderator
 United States
188560 Posts |
Quote: I've had to type so much on this on many different forums that it is just time for it to get it's own post... Thank you. It may only be my opinion, but I find your reasoning rather solid and it tracks with my 41 years in the hobby. 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
Canada
5241 Posts |
@basebal, I think that you have made an excellent point that whatever is happening in coins IS part of the larger trends in society, and we really must take this into consideration in our analysis and predictions. I don't recall that point being made before in all the threads about the declining coin hobby.
Printed material, Brick and mortar stores, clubs, etc in general are declining.
|
|
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
OH! Am I glad to hear coin collecting is dying. Sure is about time since it has been around for thousands of years. I'd better hurry and get rid of my stuff. We have over 3 or more coin shows a Month around where I live. Sure glad to hear it's dying or we could have 5 or more shows a Month instead. Maybe even 10 or 20 shows a Month. Must be that darn internet. I've heard they sell coins on the internet nowadays.  
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
7941 Posts |
@dollars, I don't have an iron in this fire, but I DO appreciate when data is brought to the table in any discussion. My comment on air travel just had to do with the pitfall of using price as an indicator of growth. You have the budget model (Southwest, RyanAir etc) driving down prices in certain segments, regulation/de-regulation issues, etc., all the time that the number of users just keeps growing. As for the PCGS index, I went and had a look, and it is clear that the long term trend in pricing has been upward. Prices climbed more or less steadily for the 35 years from the 1970s until about 10 years ago, where it plateaued. And yes, it has dipped a bit in the last couple of years. https://www.PCGS.com/prices/graph.a...lename=indexAnd to me, that still doesn't tell me much about the health of the HOBBY, which is pursued by many people who will never buy a coin that makes up the PCGS index (like me). ebay transactions make up a far larger part of the transaction volume than anything that can be found in a TPG database, which is why I would love to see that info. If it tracks like the Google chart, then I would find that highly meaningful. Again, it may be right that the number of collectors is in serious decline, or the number of transactions is 20% lower than it was 10 years ago, but I have still not seen a number that shows this.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
318 Posts |
Within the last month I went to two local coin shows here in central NJ, one in NJ and the other in PA. Approx 20 to 30 tables at each show so I wouldn't consider these large shows. However, I had trouble finding parking. These places were packed with people and I saw money flowing. The one place was at a firehouse and had people outside helping you find parking. They had me triple parked where I gave my name and cell number in case the other two people were leaving before I was leaving. I was impressed by how much action was going on these these local shows.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
Belgium
1185 Posts |
Quote: coins are WAY WAY DOWN. interesting discussion - I am not sure what will be the end verdict - but at least at this point I have two comments: 1) one of the rules of this forum is about shouting " Internet Yelling (7/3/2007) Do not post in all capital letters. This is the Internet equivalent of yelling and is very annoying to most people." 2) should we take the Google Trends database as a serious indicator for a dying hobby? I have doubts about that. For instance try "internet" or "computer" as keywords in Google Trends (search in Dutch sorry for that)   should we also accept that the Internet or the Computer are dying trends? I would like to see some solid reproducible data with methods used on the number of numismatic auctions organized world wide per year and the number of lots auctioned in these collective auctions. I would not surprise me if these numbers have increased significantly over the past decades.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4085 Posts |
I agree overall, baseball. This forum seems plenty healthy to me, so obviously someone is interested in coins. I do agree that the internet has changed much about buying and selling coins as well as discussing them. The internet is the primary source for most of my collection. I like the pricing transparency, the large number of coins available, etc. I know some people don't like buying on ebay, but I have had great success with it. I do also go to coin shows and coin stores, but I am far more comfortable buying in those venues because I have seen so many coins on the internet. I probably look at thousands of coins online for every one I buy. I am very particular, but. when I see "the one", I usually know and buy it. I also very much enjoy discussing coins here with the excellent members of this site. Just seems like far more variety of topics than I would get from a magazine or a coin club. Plus, I can do it when I have time and I can choose which topics and even which site I like. I doubt I would have gotten back into collecting to the extent I did without the internet influence on the hobby.
|
|
New Member
38 Posts |
Quote: As for the PCGS index, I went and had a look, and it is clear that the long term trend in pricing has been upward. LOL. All due respect, but I don't think you understand how to read a 'pricing trend'. Here. Just so we're all clear and operating from the same vantage. https://www.PCGS.com/prices/graph.a...lename=indexAnd those are absolute dollar prices, not inflation adjusted, meaning that the coin that cost you $700 30 years ago that still costs $700 today represents a net loss of almost 50%. Want to get even uglier? If you had put that $700 in an index fund in 1989 rather than that coin, it would be worth about $10,000 today. So I'd be interested to know where, from looking at that chart, you derive the statement "the long term trend in pricing has been upward".
|
|
New Member
38 Posts |
Quote: 1) one of the rules of this forum is about shouting "Internet Yelling (7/3/2007) Do not post in all capital letters. This is the Internet equivalent of yelling and is very annoying to most people." OK (Yikes, sorry!! ok...) Aspergers. Quote: 2) should we take the Google Trends database as a serious indicator for a dying hobby? I have doubts about that. A sole indicator? Absolutely not. An indicator? Absolutely... unless the Quant market has it all wrong when they use it to gain insights into market interest of certain things. Also, you clearly searched an English language term in a non-English country. Maybe "internet" means the same there as it does here, however if want a more relevant metric, lets try searching "Internet" Globally, over the last 15 years... https://trends.google.com/trends/ex...l&q=InternetIt shows a general downtrend in search interest, which corresponds exactly to what would be expected from an emerging technology that is reaching ubiquity.peak market saturation. So, yeah. The same people who claim that every single non-internet indicator that indicates coin collecting is a dying hobby are really just missing 'the internet picture' then have to make elaborate excuses as to why one of the single strongest internet interest-signals, actually used by quant funds, shows interest in coin collecting is dying, too. Again, as noted, this is not a 'bad' thing and I'm completely puzzled by the weirdos who think that because a hobby is on the decline, that means they should stop participating. WELP, MAY AS WELL JUST SELL ALL MY COINS, THEN!
|
|
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10284 Posts |
I had to look up "bloviating".
I learn something new every day.
Coin collecting is alive and well at our coin club meeting and annual coin show attendance is up. Dealers are generally happy and return. The youngsters have a great table to pick through for free, enough coins that I am surprised the table doesn't collapse and it is busy all day. I certainly have not slowed down. I guess if it's about making money, that is one thing. If it's about enjoying coin collecting that's another.
|
| |
Replies: 91 / Views: 8,697 |